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ABSTRACT The mass assembly history (MAH) of dark matter haloes plays a crucial role in shaping the formation and evolution of galaxies. MAHs are used extensively in semi-analytic and empirical models of galaxy formation, yet current analytic methods to generate them are inaccurate and unable to capture their relationship with the halo internal structure and large-scale environment. This paper introduces florah (FLOw-based Recurrent model for Assembly Histories), a machine-learning framework for generating assembly histories of ensembles of dark matter haloes. We train florah on the assembly histories from the Gadget at Ultra-high Redshift with Extra Fine Time-steps and vsmdplN-body simulations and demonstrate its ability to recover key properties such as the time evolution of mass and concentration. We obtain similar results for the galaxy stellar mass versus halo mass relation and its residuals when we run the Santa Cruz semi-analytic model on florah-generated assembly histories and halo formation histories extracted from an N-body simulation. We further show that florah also reproduces the dependence of clustering on properties other than mass (assembly bias), which is not captured by other analytic methods. By combining multiple networks trained on a suite of simulations with different redshift ranges and mass resolutions, we are able to construct accurate main progenitor branches with a wide dynamic mass range from $z=0$ up to an ultra-high redshift $$z \approx 20$$, currently far beyond that of a single N-body simulation. florah is the first step towards a machine learning-based framework for planting full merger trees; this will enable the exploration of different galaxy formation scenarios with great computational efficiency at unprecedented accuracy. 

ABSTRACT The origin of the ‘seeds’ of supermassive black holes (BHs) continues to be a puzzle, as it is currently unclear if the imprints of early seed formation could survive to today. We examine the signatures of seeding in the local Universe using five $$[18~\mathrm{Mpc}]^3$$BRAHMA simulation boxes run to $z=0$. They initialize $$1.5\times 10^5~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs using different seeding models. The first four boxes initialize BHs as heavy seeds using criteria that depend on dense and metal-poor gas, Lyman–Werner radiation, gas spin, and environmental richness. The fifth box initializes BHs as descendants of lower mass seeds ($$\sim 10^3~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$) using a new stochastic seed model built in our previous work. In our simulations, we find that the abundances and properties of $$\sim 10^5-10^6~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ local BHs hosted in $$M_*\lesssim 10^{9}~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ dwarf galaxies, are sensitive to the assumed seeding criteria. This is for two reasons: (1) there is a substantial population of local $$\sim 10^5~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs that are ungrown relics of early seeds from $$z\sim 5-10$$; (2) BH growth up to $$\sim 10^6~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ is dominated by mergers in our simulations all the way down to $$z\sim 0$$. As the contribution from gas accretion increases, the signatures of seeding start to weaken in more massive $$\gtrsim 10^6~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs, and they are erased for $$\gtrsim 10^7~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs. The different seed models explored here predict abundances of local $$\sim 10^6~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs ranging from $$\sim 0.01-0.05~\mathrm{Mpc}^{-3}$$ with occupation fractions of $$\sim 20-100~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ for $$M_*\sim 10^{9}~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ galaxies. These results highlight the potential for placing constraints on seeding models using local $$\sim 10^5-10^6~\rm {M}_{\odot }$$ BHs hosted in dwarf galaxies. Since merger dynamics and accretion physics impact the persistence of seeding signatures, and both high and low mass seed models can produce similar local BH populations, disentangling their roles will require combining high and low redshift constraints. 

ABSTRACT Arkenstone is a new scheme that allows multiphase, stellar feedback-driven winds to be included in coarse resolution cosmological simulations. The evolution of galactic winds and their subsequent impact on the circumgalactic medium are altered by exchanges of mass, energy, momentum, and metals between their component phases. These exchanges are governed by complex, small-scale physical processes that cannot be resolved in cosmological simulations. In this second presentation paper, we describe Arkenstone’s novel cloud particle approach for modelling unresolvable cool clouds entrained in hot, fast winds. This general framework allows models of the cloud–wind interaction, derived from state-of-the-art high-resolution simulations, to be applied in a large-scale context. In this work, we adopt a cloud evolution model that captures simultaneous cloud mass loss to and gain from the ambient hot phase via turbulent mixing and radiative cooling, respectively. We demonstrate the scheme using non-cosmological idealized simulations of a galaxy with a realistic circumgalactic medium component, using the arepo code. We show that the ability of a high-specific energy wind component to perform preventative feedback may be limited by heavy loading of cool clouds coupled into it. We demonstrate that the diverging evolution of clouds of initially differing masses leads to a complex velocity field for the cool phase and a cloud mass function that varies both spatially and temporally in a non-trivial manner. These latter two phenomena can manifest in the simulation because of our choice of a Lagrangian discretization of the cloud population, in contrast to other proposed schemes. 

Abstract The scaling of galaxy properties with halo mass suggests that feedback loops regulate star formation, but there is no consensus yet about how those feedback loops work. To help clarify discussions of galaxy-scale feedback, Paper I presented a very simple model for supernova feedback that it called the minimalist regulator model. This follow-up paper interprets that model and discusses its implications. The model itself is an accounting system that tracks all of the mass and energy associated with a halo’s circumgalactic baryons—the central galaxy’s atmosphere. Algebraic solutions for the equilibrium states of that model reveal that star formation in low-mass halos self-regulates primarily by expanding the atmospheres of those halos, ultimately resulting in stellar masses that are insensitive to the mass-loading properties of galactic winds. What matters most is the proportion of supernova energy that couples with circumgalactic gas. However, supernova feedback alone fails to expand galactic atmospheres in higher-mass halos. According to the minimalist regulator model, an atmospheric contraction crisis ensues, which may be what triggers strong black hole feedback. The model also predicts that circumgalactic medium properties emerging from cosmological simulations should depend largely on the specific energy of the outflows they produce, and we interpret the qualitative properties of several numerical simulations in light of that prediction. 

Abstract This paper presents a new framework for understanding the relationship between a galaxy and its circumgalactic medium (CGM). It focuses on howimbalancesbetween heating and cooling cause either expansion or contraction of the CGM. It does this by trackingallof the mass and energy associated with a halo’s baryons, including their gravitational potential energy, even if feedback has pushed some of those baryons beyond the halo’s virial radius. We show how a star-forming galaxy’s equilibrium state can be algebraically derived within the context of this framework, and we analyze how the equilibrium star formation rate depends on supernova feedback. We consider the consequences of varying the mass loading parameter ${\eta }_M\equiv {\dot{M}}_{\mathrm{wind}}/{\dot{M}}_{*}$relating a galaxy’s gas mass outflow rate ( ${\dot{M}}_{\mathrm{wind}}$) to its star formation rate ( ${\dot{M}}_{*}$) and obtain results that challenge common assumptions. In particular, we find that equilibrium star formation rates in low-mass galaxies are generally insensitive to mass loading, and when mass loading does matter, increasing it actually results inmorestar formation because more supernova energy is needed to resist atmospheric contraction. 

ABSTRACT In recent years, cosmological hydrodynamical simulations have proven their utility as key interpretative tools in the study of galaxy formation and evolution. In this work, we present a comparative analysis of the baryon cycle in three publicly available, leading cosmological simulation suites: EAGLE, IllustrisTNG, and SIMBA. While these simulations broadly agree in terms of their predictions for the stellar mass content and star formation rates of galaxies at $$z\approx 0$$, they achieve this result for markedly different reasons. In EAGLE and SIMBA, we demonstrate that at low halo masses ($$M_{\rm 200c}\lesssim 10^{11.5}\, \mathrm{M}_{\odot }$$), stellar feedback (SF)-driven outflows can reach far beyond the scale of the halo, extending up to $$2\!-\!3\times R_{\rm 200c}$$. In contrast, in TNG, SF-driven outflows, while stronger at the scale of the interstellar medium, recycle within the circumgalactic medium (within $$R_{\rm 200c}$$). We find that active galactic nucleus (AGN)-driven outflows in SIMBA are notably potent, reaching several times $$R_{\rm 200c}$$ even at halo masses up to $$M_{\rm 200c}\approx 10^{13.5}\, \mathrm{M}_{\odot }$$. In both TNG and EAGLE, AGN feedback can eject gas beyond $$R_{\rm 200c}$$ at this mass scale, but seldom beyond $$2\!-\!3\times R_{\rm 200c}$$. We find that the scale of feedback-driven outflows can be directly linked with the prevention of cosmological inflow, as well as the total baryon fraction of haloes within $$R_{\rm 200c}$$. This work lays the foundation to develop targeted observational tests that can discriminate between feedback scenarios, and inform subgrid feedback models in the next generation of simulations. 

ABSTRACT JWST has revealed a large population of accreting black holes (BHs) in the early Universe. Recent work has shown that even after accounting for possible systematic biases, the high-z$$M_*{\!-\!}M_{\rm \rm bh}$$ relation can be above the local scaling relation by $$\gt 3\sigma$$. To understand the implications of these overmassive high-z BHs, we study the BH growth at $$z\sim 4{\!-\!}7$$ using the $$[18~\mathrm{Mpc}]^3$$BRAHMA cosmological simulations with systematic variations of heavy seed models that emulate direct collapse black hole (DCBH) formation. In our least restrictive seed model, we place $$\sim 10^5~{\rm M}_{\odot }$$ seeds in haloes with sufficient dense and metal-poor gas. To model conditions for direct collapse, we impose additional criteria based on a minimum Lyman Werner flux (LW flux $$=10~J_{21}$$), maximum gas spin, and an environmental richness criterion. The high-z BH growth in our simulations is merger dominated, with a relatively small contribution from gas accretion. The simulation that includes all the above seeding criteria fails to reproduce an overmassive high-z$$M_*{\!-\!}M_{\rm bh}$$ relation consistent with observations (by factor of $$\sim 10$$ at $$z\sim 4$$). However, more optimistic models that exclude the spin and environment based criteria are able to reproduce the observed relations if we assume $$\lesssim 750~\mathrm{Myr}$$ delay times between host galaxy mergers and subsequent BH mergers. Overall, our results suggest that current JWST observations may be explained with heavy seeding channels if their formation is more efficient than currently assumed DCBH conditions. Alternatively, we may need higher initial seed masses, additional contributions from lighter seeds to BH mergers, and / or more efficient modes for BH accretion. 

ABSTRACT While the first “seeds” of supermassive black holes (BH) can range from $$\sim 10^2-10^6 \rm ~{\rm M}_{\odot }$$, the lowest mass seeds ($$\lesssim 10^3~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$) are inaccessible to most cosmological simulations due to resolution limitations. We present our new BRAHMA simulations that use a novel flexible seeding approach to predict the $$z\ge 7$$ BH populations for low-mass seeds. We ran two types of boxes that model $$\sim 10^3~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ seeds using two distinct but mutually consistent seeding prescriptions at different simulation resolutions. First, we have the highest resolution $$[9~\mathrm{Mpc}]^3$$ (BRAHMA-9-D3) boxes that directly resolve $$\sim 10^3~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ seeds and place them within haloes with dense, metal-poor gas. Second, we have lower resolution, larger volume $$[18~\mathrm{Mpc}]^3$$ (BRAHMA-18-E4), and $$\sim [36~\mathrm{Mpc}]^3$$ (BRAHMA-36-E5) boxes that seed their smallest resolvable $$\sim 10^4~\&~10^5~\mathrm{{\rm M}_{\odot }}$$ BH descendants using new stochastic seeding prescriptions calibrated using BRAHMA-9-D3. The three boxes together probe key BH observables between $$\sim 10^3\,\mathrm{ and}\,10^7~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$. The active galactic nuclei (AGN) luminosity function variations are small (factors of $$\sim 2-3$$) at the anticipated detection limits of potential future X-ray facilities ($$\sim 10^{43}~ \mathrm{ergs~s^{-1}}$$ at $$z\sim 7$$). Our simulations predict BHs $$\sim 10-100$$ times heavier than the local $$M_*$$ versus $$M_{\mathrm{ bh}}$$ relations, consistent with several JWST-detected AGN. For different seed models, our simulations merge binaries at $$\sim 1-15~\mathrm{kpc}$$, with rates of $$\sim 200-2000$$ yr−1 for $$\gtrsim 10^3~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ BHs, $$\sim 6-60$$ yr−1 for $$\gtrsim 10^4~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ BHs, and up to $$\sim 10$$ yr−1 amongst $$\gtrsim 10^5~\rm {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ BHs. These results suggest that Laser Interferometer Space Antenna mission has promising prospects for constraining seed models. 

ABSTRACT In the absence of supplementary heat, the radiative cooling of halo gas around massive galaxies (Milky Way mass and above) leads to an excess of cold gas or stars beyond observed levels. Active galactic nucleus jet-induced heating is likely essential, but the specific properties of the jets remain unclear. Our previous work concludes from simulations of a halo with $$10^{14} \,\mathrm{ M}_\odot$$ that a successful jet model should have an energy flux comparable to the free-fall energy flux at the cooling radius and should inflate a sufficiently wide cocoon with a long enough cooling time. In this paper, we investigate three jet modes with constant fluxes satisfying the criteria, including high-temperature thermal jets, cosmic ray (CR)-dominant jets, and widely precessing kinetic jets in $$10^{12}-10^{15}\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ haloes using high-resolution, non-cosmological magnetohydrodynamic simulations with the FIRE-2 (Feedback In Realistic Environments) stellar feedback model, conduction, and viscosity. We find that scaling the jet energy according to the free-fall energy at the cooling radius can successfully suppress the cooling flows and quench galaxies without violating observational constraints. On the contrary, if we scale the energy flux based on the total cooling rate within the cooling radius, strong interstellar medium cooling dominates this scaling, resulting in a jet flux exceeding what is needed. Among the three jet types, the CR-dominant jet is most effective in suppressing cooling flows across all surveyed halo masses due to enhanced CR pressure support. We confirm that the criteria for a successful jet model work across a wider range, encompassing halo masses of $$10^{12}-10^{15} {\rm M_\odot }$$. 

Abstract Traditional star formation subgrid models implemented in cosmological galaxy formation simulations, such as that of V. Springel & L. Hernquist (hereafter SH03), employ adjustable parameters to satisfy constraints measured in the local Universe. In recent years, however, theory and spatially resolved simulations of the turbulent, multiphase, star-forming interstellar medium (ISM) have begun to produce new first-principles models, which when fully developed can replace traditional subgrid prescriptions. This approach has advantages of being physically motivated and predictive rather than empirically tuned, and allowing for varying environmental conditions rather than being tied to local-Universe conditions. As a prototype of this new approach, by combining calibrations from the TIGRESS numerical framework with the pressure-regulated feedback-modulated (PRFM) theory, simple formulae can be obtained for both the gas depletion time and an effective equation of state. Considering galaxies in TNG50, we compare the “native” simulation outputs with postprocessed predictions from PRFM. At TNG50 resolution, the total midplane pressure is nearly equal to the total ISM weight, indicating that galaxies in TNG50 are close to satisfying vertical equilibrium. The measured gas scale height is also close to theoretical equilibrium predictions. The slopes of the effective equations of states are similar, but with effective velocity dispersion normalization from SH03 slightly larger than that from current TIGRESS simulations. Because of this and the decrease in PRFM feedback yield at high pressure, the PRFM model predicts shorter gas depletion times than the SH03 model at high densities and redshift. Our results represent a first step toward implementing new, numerically calibrated subgrid algorithms in cosmological galaxy formation simulations.